Later today, CAG Osaka and Wildcard will clash in RE:L0:AD's first semifinal for a chance to be in the tournament's grand final.
It's fair to say nobody realistically expected either of these two sides playing each other for a shot at reaching their first-ever international grand final. Regardless of how things have been, here we are.
Here's what you need to know about today's clash between CAG Osaka and Wildcard:
CAG Osaka and Wildcard so far in RE:L0:AD
Looking both team's statistics in RE:L0:AD doesn't speak well about the Japanese roster.
While the Cyclops have relied on individual performances, with Sho "BlackRay" Hasegawa leading the team with a SiegeGG rating of 1.27, Wildcard's best two players have been Evan "Kanzen" Bushore and Leonardo "Dash" Lopes, with SiegeGG ratings of 1.35 and 1.34, respectively.
All in all, Wildcard's performances have been really impressive, considering the overall lack of experience in the team — and considering the team was assembled just a few months ago. After all, Brady "Bae" Lukens, Jacob "Bae" Dowling, and Joan "bbySharKK" Benito are making their international debuts in Rio de Janeiro.
CAG Osaka's last win against a North American team was at the Six Major Charlotte
It's a historical day for CAG Osaka and APAC Rainbow Six Siege. For the first time since DAMWON Gaming faced off against FaZe Clan in the Six Sweden Major semifinals, an Asian team could reach an international Rainbow Six Siege grand final.
While Wildcard is, on paper, a weaker side than the three-time international champions FURIA Esports and the BLAST R6 Major Montreal champions w7m esports, history says CAG Osaka doesn't do very well against North American lineups. In fact, the Japanese's last victory against a North American team was three years and one day ago, when they beat XSET at the Six Charlotte Major.
Here are all of CAG Osaka's results against North American rosters in Rainbow Six Siege:
- Six Invitational 2025: CAG Osaka 1-2 Unwanted
- BLAST R6 Major Manchester: CAG Osaka 3-7 Beastcoast
- Gamers8 2023: CAG Osaka 0-2 Oxygen Esports
- Six Invitational 2023: CAG Osaka 0-2 Oxygen Esports
- Six Invitational 2023: CAG Osaka 0-2 Astralis
- Six Jönköping Major: CAG Osaka 4-7 Soniqs
- Six Jönköping Major: CAG Osaka 4-7 Soniqs
- Six Charlotte Major: CAG Osaka 5-7 XSET
- Six Charlotte Major: CAG Osaka 7-4 XSET
- Six Invitational 2022: CAG Osaka 0-2 Spacestation
- Six Mexico Major: CAG Osaka 7-4 Soniqs
- Six Mexico Major: CAG Osaka 7-4 Soniqs
- Six Invitational 2021: CAG Osaka 3-7 DarkZero Esports
- Six Raleigh Major: CAG Osaka 0-2 Rogue
Therefore, the Japanese have only won three out of their fourteen matches against North American sides since the team's Rainbow Six Siege international debut. At the same time, CAG Osaka have yet to beat a North American side in a BO3 series, as all of their victories against the American region came in Six Major group stage games.
It's also worth mentioning that both Evan "Kanzen" Bushore and Leonardo "Dash" Lopes have beat the Cyclops at least once. While the North American was part of the Soniqs roster that beat CAG Osaka at the Six Jönköping Major — and that lost to them at the Six Mexico Major — the Brazilian defeated the Cyclops while playing for LOS oNe at the Six Invitational 2023.
Back where it all began for Wildcard
Wildcard's RE:L0:AD run started with a 7-1 victory against the three-time Japan League champions SCARZ, who have an outstanding record against CAG Osaka — twelve wins and only three defeats. Therefore, if Wildcard have already beaten the current Japanese champions, they should be favorites against the Cyclops.
Unfortunately for them, it's not that easy. Despite SCARZ's regional dynasty, the Japanese team have been struggling internationally since they stole the show at the BLAST R6 Major Copenhagen when they surprisingly reached the quarterfinals. Abroad, CAG Osaka have been Japan's powerhouse.
Despite the Cyclops' lack of positive results against North American sides, the Japanese have improved their international results in the last months. In February 2025, the Cyclops made it out of an international group stage for the first time ever. Three months later, in Rio, the team has a shot at qualifying for the grand final.
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